
Image via Wikipedia
Image via Wikipedia
Welcome to Episode Six of Underrated / Overrated. On tap today,we have HOF hopeful Jack Morris, The Who, Robbie Alomar, The Alamo, Saturday Night Live, and Sam Adams beer. Enjoy!
Overrated: Jack Morris – More than a few people believe that Jack Morris belongs in the Hall of Fame.

Image via Wikipedia
They point to his outstanding ten-inning marathon performance in the 1991 World Series Game 7 vs. the Braves as Exhibit A for evidence of HOF worthiness. His supporters also point out that Morris was the winningest pitcher of the ‘80’s.
Taking the last point first. Decades, as such, are purely artificial constructs. Why not, for example, choose the “decade” 1975-85, or 1985-95. Or, for that matter, 1978-88? You would almost certainly come up with a different“winningest” pitcher whose career would also significantly overlap with Morris’ career.
Also, wins, as a measure of pitching greatness, are no longer front-and-center these days. And Morris has precious little else to offer in terms of statistical analysis that points to unappreciated excellence. His career ERA+ is 105, meaning that he was actually just 5% better, overall, than a typical replacement level pitcher, taking his career as a whole.
Morris’ performance in Game 7 of the 1991 World Series is the stuff of legend. But there is little in baseball history that suggests a fleeting moment of greatness on the Big Stage necessarily translates into a VIP Pass into Cooperstown. Joe Carter, who had a very nice career, hit a walk-off home run to defeat the Phillies in the 1993 World Series. Carter was unceremoniously dropped off the HOF ballot after just one year (2004), when he received just 3.8 percent of the vote.
Morris will, and should, do better than that.
But Jack Morris is no Hall of Famer.
Career WAR: 39.3
Underrated: Dave Stieb – Victimized by lack of run support his entire career, and often pitching for some very bad teams, Stieb still managed 176 wins in his career, as well as a .562 win-loss percentage. Morris’s career win-loss percentage was .577, just slightly better than Stieb’s despite mostly pitching for better teams than Stieb ever enjoyed.
Stieb led the A.L. in ERA once, and in ERA+ twice. Jack Morris never led the league in either category.
Moreover, Stieb’s career ERA was a respectable 3.44, and he kept his ERA at or below 3.25 in seven full seasons. Only once in 18-years did Morris ever post an ERA below 3.25. Morris’ career ERA was 3.90.
Stieb’s career ERA+ was 123, considerably better than Morris’, and the same as Hall of Famer Juan Marichal.
I’m not arguing that Dave Stieb should be in the Hall of Fame. But, compared to Jack Morris, he was a very underrated pitcher.
Career WAR: 53.0
Overrated: The Who – “Tommy” – A “Rock Opera” album that definitely doesn’t “Rock,” and, like the worst of opera, has an incoherent storyline obfuscated by lots of unnecessary drama, cluttered spectacle, and bombastic music. By 1969, a sizable cohort of that generation’s rock fans (who hoped they’d die before they got old), apparently decided that rock n’ roll wasn’t just for Saturday night keg parties anymore. It needed to express meaning and gravitas equal to the ambitions of millions of middle class white kids who were out to change the world, one college credit at a time. Precious little of what eventually evolved into what was called “Art Rock” left any significant legacy on rock n’ roll, let alone on society itself.
Underrated: The Who – “Quadrophenia” – A true masterpiece by a great band at the top of their game. Keith Moon’s drums never sounded better, and Roger Daltrey, liberated from the nonsensical off-Broadway melodies he was forced to endure on Tommy, actually sings like the street-tough that he was born to portray. Quadrophenia actually started out as a “concept” album, God help us, and was eventually turned into a pretty decent feature film. But it largely avoided unnecessarily pretentious operatic stylization, and most of the songs just plain rock. Go back and listen to songs like “The Punk Meets the Godfather,” and “5:15” if you haven’t done so for a while, or especially if you never have.
Overrated: Roberto Alomar’s Defense – I know, look, when I first heard that some baseball analysts were trying to make the case that Alomar’s defensive reputation was largely overblown, I would have none of that either. After all, I saw Alomar make enough (apparently) spectacular plays over the years that I dismissed that sort of criticism out of hand.
But once I settled down enough to take a closer, objective look at the numbers, I noticed a perplexing and disturbing trend.
Robby Alomar’s defense really was overrated.
Let’s begin with, for example, times leading his league in assists as a second baseman.
He led the league twice in this statistic. Not great, but not bad, either.
How about times leading the league in putouts? He led his league in this stat just once in seventeen seasons. Hmmm.
Well, for cryin’ out loud. How about that old standard, Fielding Percentage. Robbie sure seemed sure-handed enough, right? Turns out his career Fielding Percentage was .984, good for 42nd all-time, just a hair behind Jeff Frye. Again, not bad, but nothing to write home about, either.
But his range seemed extraordinary; I saw him get to balls that no one else would ever have reached. Yet Alomar NEVER led his league in Range Factor / 9 Innings. In fact his career mark in that category (4.95) ranks just 91st in MLB history! He falls between Mark Loretta and Wally Backman in that stat.
Roberto Alomar’s career Defensive WAR is a shockingly low -3.4. (Yes, that’s a negative sign before the 3.)
By way of comparison, consider the career Defensive WAR for the following players: (all are positive numbers)
Orlando Hudson: 2.3
Ryne Sandberg: 5.3
Bobby Grich: 8.5
Bill Mazeroski: 11.9
Frankie Frisch: 13.7! (underrated)
All of which leads us to the sadly unyielding conclusion that, although Robbie Alomar certainly belongs in the Hall of Fame, it should not be for his defense.
Underrated: Roberto Alomar – Base Stealer – Alomar stole 474 bases in his career against just 114 times caught stealing. His 80% career success rate is about the same as Rickey Henderson’s, and is considerably better than Lou Brock’s 75%. It is also just four percentage points behind Tim Raines all-time career best (minimum 300 steals) 84% success rate.
Alomar topped 50 steals twice, and reached at least 30 steals in five other seasons. Over a six-year period, from 1999 through 2003, he stole 134 bases in 156 attempts, an outstanding 86% success rate.
Overrated: The Alamo – 1836 – Approximately 180-250 “Texans,” virtually none of whom were originally from Texas, were massacred by Mexican General Santa Anna’s superior numbers. The Texans’ goal was to create a slave republic in territory annexed from Mexico, without Mexico’s permission. Originally, the Texans had come as settlers, but soon made it clear that they had no intention of living under Mexican law and custom. Thus, in effect, the “Texans” were breaking the law. Mexico responded with an ultimatum: pack up and leave, or die. So the Texans died, later to be avenged at the final battle at San Jacinto, where Santa Anna was captured, and the new Republic of Texas, a new slave territory, was born.
Underrated: Battle of Verdun, First World War – Perhaps the biggest, bloodiest battle in human history. Lasted from February-December 1916. Perhaps as many as a million casualties in all, of whom about 550,000 were French. The Germans literally tried to bleed France to death, but France never capitulated. For France, this was Marathon, Gettysburg and (yet-to-be-fought) Stalingrad combined. Essentially ended as a stalemate, but can be viewed as a moral victory for France.
Overrated: Sacrifice Bunts – Giving up one-third of all of your outs per half-inning to move a runner up one-base, instead of allowing your offense to try to do the same thing without intentionally surrendering an out, statistically just doesn’t make sense. As a manager, I would happily allow the opposing team’s offense to move a runner up to second base if they were going to give up a free out. So, when managing my offense, why would I reciprocate the favor?
Underrated: Getting Hit By a Pitch – Craig Biggio reached base due to getting hit by a pitch 285 times during his 20-year career (just two fewer than the all-time leader, Hughie Jennings.) Biggio led the N.L. in getting hit by a pitch five times. Imagine getting 285 extra hits in a career. All those extra times on base certainly lead to a lot of run scoring opportunities. In Biggio’s remarkable 1997 season, Biggio was hit by pitches 34 times, he didn’t waste a sacrifice hit one single time, and he did not hit into a single double-play all year. He stole 47 bases, scored a league-leading 146 runs, drew 84 walks, and played in every single game. His OPS+ was 143. That, my friends, is pretty nearly a perfect season.
Overrated: Saturday Night Live! – I recently watched the S.N.L. Christmas Special. I think I laughed maybe three or four times. Other than Tina Fey lampooning Sarah Palin, this show hasn’t been funny since around the late ‘80’s, and it hasn’t been REALLY funny since the ‘70’s. This show is testament to the power of ego, in this case, the ego of producer Lorne Michaels, who just won’t let this Frankenstein’s monster die.
Underrated: Fawlty Towers – (1975-79) This British comedy, starring former Monty Python alumnus John Cleese as hen-pecked innkeeper Basil Fawlty, features some of the funniest acting and writing in T.V. history. Connie Booth, who eventually married, and later divorced Cleese, was his co-writer. She played Polly, the maid. The show actually lasted just two seasons, 1975 and 1979, with a three-year hiatus in between. There were only twelve Fawlty Towers episodes ever made.
Overrated: Scrappy, Hard-Nosed Players – David Eckstein is the poster-boy of these dirty-uniformed fan favorites who run out every grounder, dive after every ball, and generally make themselves annoying in countless ways. They also often share another common trait: Low career OPS+. Eckstein’s for example, is 87, meaning that he has been just 87% as good as a typical replacement level ballplayer.
Underrated: “Lazy” Players Who Make it Look Too Easy - Andruw Jones / Manny Ramirez, etc. Personally, ladies and gentlemen, I’ll take Andruw Jones (in his prime) and his ten Gold Gloves, his 23.7 Defensive WAR (second only to Brooks Robinson all-time) and his 407 home runs. And Manny Ramirez, with or without steroids, had one of the prettiest, most lethal swings of any right-handed hitter in history.
Overrated: Sam Adams Brewery – This Boston-based brew company is extremely good at self-promotion. If you live in the greater Boston area, it is expected that you have only nice things to say about the various Sam Adams brews. As for me, I don’t like a beer that tries too hard to get my attention while I’m actually drinking it. And, as a side note, Sam Adams was overrated as a patriotic “founding father” as well.
Underrated: Warsteiner Brewery – DAS GUT BIER!! A fine German brew.
Until next time, folks. Stay tuned for an upcoming blog-post on this week’s BBWA Hall of Fame voting results. Should be interesting.
Posted in
American History,
baseball,
Baseball Analysis,
Baseball Commentary,
Baseball History,
Baseball Players,
Rock Music and tagged
1991 World Series,
Battle of Verdun,
Dave Stieb,
Frankie Frisch,
Jack Morris,
Roberto Alomar,
Sam Adams,
The Alamo
Baseball, Wages, and the American Middle Class
As you can clearly see from this graph, the middle class has been trending in the wrong direction, regarding its share of national income, for over 40 years now. If you are at least over 45 or 50 years old, you may recall a time when a one income household (usually headed by a male breadwinner) could adequately, even comfortably, provide for itself. My father, for example, was a factory worker his entire life in Bridgeport, CT. With a sixth-grade education, and a lot of hard work, he was able to support my mom, my younger brother and I until I moved out of the house in the 1980′s and began to support myself. By that time, (a bit earlier, actually) my mom had gone back to work as well.
My dad worked in a union shop and received a fair wage for hard work, as had his parents’ generation before him. I, too, worked for a couple of years in a union shop. The Teamster’s Union negotiated wages and contracts for us at UPS in Stratford, CT in the early 1980′s. When I started working there (loading and unloading trucks) I was earning about $10.00 per hour. Even in Connecticut, that was a pretty nice wage for a kid just out of high school. Within about a year, I was earning around $12.00 per hour, shared an apartment with a friend of mine, bought a car, and was able to save a little money.
It should be noted that UPS was enjoying prosperity in those days as well, despite the presence of labor unions in its midst.
In the late fall of 2011, a month or so before Christmas, I thought about making a little extra money down here in Greenville, S.C. where I now live. My wife is the primary breadwinner in our family, but I like to work, so I thought, just for the hell of it, I would check out what UPS here in the greater Greenville area was paying its employees for the same job I used to do around thirty years ago. It turned out their starting wage, in a non-union facility, was around $8.00 per hour. Now, adjusting for thirty years of inflation, I can’t even imagine what this “modern” wage would have equated to thirty years ago.
Now let’s turn to Major League baseball for a few minutes to see how the ball players, represented by the Major League Baseball Player’s Association, have fared over approximately that same time period.
As you can see, the players, represented by a very strong union, have become wealthier than they probably ever could have dreamed of just forty years ago. Alex Rodriguez of the New York Yankees will earn $28 million dollars this season. Derek Jeter’s net worth is around 125 million dollars. Now, obviously supply and demand is an important factor here. As long as baseball remains popular, the money will be there to pay this select group of highly talented athletes.
But it’s equally important to remember that baseball has been a capitalist enterprise for well over a century now, yet ball players have not always grown rich, and least not this rich. The minimum salary for a player (his contract negotiated by his union) is now over $400,000 dollars, around ten times the average salary of a non-union teacher here in South Carolina. I am not making an argument over the relative fairness of what a teacher makes vs. what an athlete makes. Great teachers are rare, but so are great athletes. Still, children understand and respond to incentives just like the rest of us. What choices are we encouraging our children to make based on the incentives available to them now and in the future?
The primary arguments I’ve heard from people (some of whom haven’t earned a middle class wage for years) against unions is that either A) Unions are corrupt, B) Union workers are greedy, or C) We can’t afford them.
Let’s take each of these three arguments as they relate to baseball.
A) Unions are Corrupt: There’s no question that the Player’s Union hindered the development and implementation of any rules regarding testing for steroids. One reason for this was that they believed protecting a player’s privacy was an important consideration. How could they be sure this wouldn’t turn out to be a witch-hunt? In that regard, they turned out to be right. The so-called confidential list of players who tested positive was partially leaked to the press, then on to the public. From that point on, all players have been branded guilty until “proven” innocent. Many of the Hall of Fame voters themselves seem to be waiting for “more information” regarding players they suspect might have used PED’s. Perhaps more names from another “confidential” list will someday illegally be made public. Then, with illegally obtained information at hand, they can penalize still more “dirty” players.
Sure, there are other kinds of corruption. These kinds also exist in non-union corporations, and among many of the Congressmen on Capital Hill, some of whom feel the need to remind us of the corruption of unions for political purposes while finding loopholes around and through the rules in an effort to enrich themselves at public expense.
B) Union Workers Are Greedy: Like us, baseball players seek to maximize economic gain within the realm of their chosen occupation, appropriate to their level of talent and experience. My friends in the private sector routinely do this as well. This is called (for better or worse) pursuing the American Dream. A couple of my friends are now quite wealthy. More power to them. This is not a zero-sum game where their prosperity comes at the price of someone else’s poverty (well, not directly, anyway.)
Public sector employees are also often accused of being greedy, despite the fact that they often earn less money than their private sector counterparts who have similar levels of education and job experience. My first year as a teacher, in a small town in rural Maine, I earned $20,900. That was in the mid-1990′s, not all that long ago. In my final year as a teacher, after a dozen years of experience and 36 Master’s Level college credits, I was earning $49,000. A friend of mine who graduated college the same year I did, who now works in the private sector, earns about twice as much as I did then.
We are all greedy. But for public sector unionized employees, as for MLB players, this is not a zero-sum game. The money a teacher, fireman or policeman makes is part of the tax base that pays for their own salaries, as well as the benefits received by others. Moreover, their disposable income is just as vitally a part of the consumer spending that promotes and supports local business as the dollars spent by private sector employees. Therefore, any attempt to “control” the costs of public employees by destroying their unions may have, at the local level, the unintended side effect of hurting overall consumer spending, which benefits no one.
C) We can’t afford them. This argument, that unions will destroy the economy, was an argument that MLB franchise owners made over and over again in the years leading up to the creation of the Baseball Player’s Association, and especially during the dawn of free agency. Exploding baseball player salaries will kill the game. Tickets will no longer be affordable, and player greed will kill the goose that laid the golden egg. Also, team owners will be put out of business because they won’t be able to afford these new, extravagant salaries.
None of these things came to pass. When George Steinbrenner purchased the Yankees in 1973, he paid just under ten million dollars for the franchise. Estimates are that the Yankees franchise is now worth around three billion dollars. Certainly, not every franchise can boast that same level of economic success, but in the rare occasion when an MLB franchise does go on the market, it rarely lacks a plethora of interested millionaires seeking to purchase it. Moreover, the eight best years of attendance in baseball history have each occurred in the past eight years. Clearly, if you build it, they will come, no matter how much the employees are getting paid.
Map usa unions (Photo credit: Wikipedia)
Similarly, beyond the world of baseball, the argument has been made that we can no longer afford unions. Yet many corporations that argue against unionized employees are among the richest companies on earth. Keeping their employees unnecessarily poor may allow them to please their shareholders, but the end result is a two-tiered economy that undermines real economic opportunity, upward mobility, and democracy itself. Even Henry Ford, who was anti-semitic and an early admirer of European fascism, declared that it was right to pay his assembly line workers a fair, living wage if for no other reason than that they should afford to buy the cars they were manufacturing.
It should also be noted that in the richest states like Connecticut, Massachusetts and New York, public-sector employee unions have been strong for decades. The strength of those unions did not prevent those states from becoming and remaining wealthy. Conversely, many so-called “right to work” anti-union states, especially in the south, have long been among the poorest in the nation. The lack of unions has not, nor will it ever, lift these states out of their second or third-rate economic performances. Yet, counter-intuitively, most of the residents in these same, relatively poor states, harbor negative opinions of unions.
The anti-union propaganda machine has long been effective in keeping people poor and ignorant. Thirty or forty years of union decline in this country has not made the nation richer, it has made the middle class poorer. One only has to look at the recent history of Major League baseball to see the obvious solution to this state of affairs isn’t to continue to undermine, even outlaw, the few remaining unions we have left. True, fortunes can be made in the private sector outside of unions. But trends are trends, and in the long run, if current trends continue, there may not be a middle class in the future to enjoy Major League baseball. It will be a game of the few, by the few, for the few.
If that day comes, baseball and America will both be greatly diminished.
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